The idea of Comcast taking over ITV has prompted concerns about the effect on the UK's public service broadcasting, a reality that Channel 4’s new chief executive, who previously held a key role at Sky, will be all too well aware of.
Sky’s commercial director, Priya Dogra, will now be looked to to spearhead efforts to thwart her former employer’s takeover plan to protect Channel 4.
The potential union of Sky and ITV’s TV business would leave Channel 4 a much smaller player in the realm of TV and digital ad sales, fueling discussion of the need to revisit some form of tie-up with the BBC for long-term survival.
However, it is the possible consequences on the future of news output that are causing the most immediate alarm for many within the television industry.
The unexpected announcement last month that Comcast, which controls assets including Universal Studios and bought Rupert Murdoch’s Sky for £30bn in 2018, is a logical business move. Traditional broadcasters are facing a profound survival challenge as audiences and revenues continue to rapidly migrate to global digital players such as Meta, Google, Amazon, and Netflix.
“Comcast’s advance for ITV is causing nervousness among media watchers, with especial focus for news provision.”
However, the potential £1.6bn purchase of ITV’s broadcasting arm and streaming service, which would end 70 years of self-rule, is laden with regulatory, political, and competition problems.
At a stroke, Comcast would control Sky News and ITV News—including its far-reaching regional news operation—and become the majority shareholder in ITN, which produces news for ITV, Channel 4, and Channel 5.
While Comcast’s 40% stake in ITN would not be a controlling stake—other shareholders include the owner of the Daily Mail, Thomson Reuters, and Informa—it would still be heavily involved in the news output of most of the main non-BBC broadcasters.
“If a deal goes through, the fate of ITN is an interesting one that will focus minds politically,” comments one senior TV executive. “Effectively, they will be involved in the news output of all the biggest non-BBC channels.”
Comcast promised to keep funding Sky News for a decade, raising its funding annually in line with inflation, as part of its 2018 takeover of Sky. As that assurance draws closer to expiring, concerns have been raised about whether the US company will continue to completely finance Sky News, which has an annual budget of £100m but is thought to make losses of as much as £80m.
It is thought that any deal to buy ITV would include assurances not to seek permission from media regulator Ofcom to alter the conditions of its public service broadcast licence, which includes duties to national and regional news.
“There are clearly questions about plurality,” says Stewart Puvis, a former ITN chief executive. “Theoretically, Comcast could, say, merge Sky and ITV News and use its position as a 40% shareholder in ITN to wield power... I would hope Comcast understand ways of solving these problems.”
British TV executives have previously highlighted the risk posed to the UK’s system of public service broadcasters (PSBs) by large parts of the industry being acquired by US corporations.
Recently, Ofcom published a report warning that public service television, such as news provision and UK-focused content, risks becoming an “endangered species” as viewers migrate to US online platforms and streamers.
The watchdog also revealed data showing that YouTube had surpassed ITV to become the UK’s second most-watched media service, behind only the BBC, with it and Netflix now the two most popular first TV destinations among young people.
There are those who believe that a Sky takeover of ITV, against the context of the viewer shift to mostly US digital companies, signals the need for closer cooperation between the UK’s biggest broadcasters.
“The UK wants and needs its own part of mass media which isn’t US controlled,” says a second broadcasting executive. “It’s a key national priority. I think the government needs to work out how the boards of the PSBs have a new part to their remits that requires them to collaborate.”
Given that advertisers follow eyeballs, a combination of Sky and ITV could create a British TV and streaming giant, with the two companies’ sales houses controlling a dominant share of total ad spend on traditional TV and broadcasters’ streaming services.
Any deal will trigger an investigation by the UK competition watchdog. Sky is hoping the regulator will broaden the definition of the ad market to include the impact of giants like YouTube and Facebook.
“I think it will get passed,” says Alex DeGroote, a media analyst. “Comcast will do everything it can to say it will maintain the PSB status quo... But you don’t buy to ultimately keep everything the same. ITV plus Sky would give them a hugely dominant position in the TV ad market.”
Channel 4, which relies on advertising for the vast majority of its income, now faces a weakened BBC as a potential partner and a formidable commercial threat from a combined Sky-ITV.
“We may at some point end up in that situation because of the deep cumulative cuts to the BBC’s funding and because Channel 4, too, has a inherent financial issue,” says Patrick Barwise, an emeritus professor at London Business School. “Channel 4 has repeatedly outperformed forecasts, but that is just delaying the inevitable. It’s now beginning to run out of road.”
The continuing debate highlights a larger conundrum for British media: how to maintain a distinctive voice and a robust public service ecosystem in an progressively globalised and digitally dominated landscape.
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